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In defense of single parenthood

  • Jun. 27th, 2009 at 11:51 AM
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FeministX proposes the Judith Harris "sociological studies of parenting environment never correct for genetics and when you do there is no effect left" argument to disagree with the idea that fatherlessness causes problems:
The correlation between divorce rate of adopted children and their biological parents was nearly identical to the parent-child divorce rate correlation of children raised by their biological parents. Any number of studies show similar findings. The likelihood of crime is a reflection of the biological parents tendency towards committing crime, not the adoptive parents.

The studies that show a correlation between fatherlessness and general degeneracy are probably measuring an inherited tendency towards poor future time orientation, irresponsibility and the effects of poverty to a lesser degree. A child usually becomes fatherless because either the mother is too socially maladjusted to keep the father in her life or because the father is a poor parent. In most cases, fatherless children are probably the result of two irresponsible parents.
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If r/K selection has any validity in human evolution, it will create a problem for studies that attempt to show a connection between paternal investment and child quality.
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What happens when children who are born with traits favoring parental investment are for some reason raised in unstable environments? ... there are a few studies of the lives of child holocaust survivors. Not only did they function in society, they were more successful than their Jewish peers. This is interesting because those children were taken away from both their mothers and fathers and given the most negative possible substitute for a parent.

I am guessing that involvement of a father in a child's life has a very marginal effect on a child's success in life.
She may well be right.

Clarification on Sanford

  • Jun. 26th, 2009 at 4:31 PM
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Ok, I need to clarify a couple things from my admittedly trolly post on what Sanford should have said.

1) He was separated from his wife at the time - because she knew about the affair. If your wife separates from you b/c of your affair w/ a hot Argentinean woman, then whether or not you choose your marriage or your mistress, you might as well go have some hot Argentinean sex while you are deciding!

2) I partly blame culture for his affair. I know people hate hearing things like that, but it is true, so deal with it. Being set up does not make the victim not guilty...but the victim being guilty also does not mean they were not set up.

Humans were evolved to be only semi-monogamous. I am not going to reiterate the standard EvBio view of human sexuality here, but suffice it to say that the evolutionary environment was probably polygamous - high-status males had multiple wives, while low-status males had none. Women have an instinct to sleep with high-status men (even if they are married), and high-status men have an instinct to sleep with any hot women they run across.

I am NOT saying this makes cheating OK. But it does mean that the deck is stacked against fidelity and marital stability for high-status mean. If an American is unhealthy due to being overweight or out of shape, I say it is their fault. BUT the deck is stacked against Americans being in shape. We get shitty advice about diet and fitness, we have non-physical jobs, and there is unhealthy food all over the place.

Many people still manage to be thin and healthy - we cannot absolve the rest of guilty. But it would also be stupid to deny that the disconnect between the primal environment we are wired for and the modern world makes it difficult to be physically healthy - makes it take a lot more willpower than it would in a better-matched environment. And similarly with monogamy for high-status men. Yes, many high-status men have the willpower to be monogamous. But many don't, and it is a lot more challenging than it would be in a society with different sexual values.

There is a reason that so many politicians and entertainers have affairs and have short-lived marriages - because their wiring and our culture do not match. I would wager that in countries where affairs are accepted, high-status marriages last longer, and that's a good thing in my book.

Hopefully that makes my position more clear. His cheating was wrong, but a society which expects people to act in a high-willpower way should not be surprised when they often fail. Blame the cheater, but also blame the rules.

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A General Theory of Human Mating is an excellent introduction to the male-centric, evolutionary biology-influenced sort-of-conservative viewpoint that bad shit is happening because of the interaction between women's hardwired sexuality and current social mores and laws relating to marriage and relationships. I'm sure it is overly simplistic and may make some errors, but it is the best summary I have found yet of this worldview.

(It's possible this will piss some people off, but this blog (hell, my life in general) has always operated on the principle of happily accepting a self-selected audience. "Those who matter won't leave, and those who leave don't matter")

There is too much material to excerpt, although it's not a long read. It contains a standard but clearly written description of male vs. female reproductive strategies, and of the disadvantages of monogamy for women, and the evolution of relationships from polygyny to monogamy to the current world of serial monogamy. It's all about how changing law and culture against the background of fixed biology results in different types of relationships with different social effects. Really, quite fascinating. Again, go read it before reading my comments.

From my perspective, part of the issue is that strict monogamy (lets call it "Regency Monogamy" as its the historical period I'm most familiar with) was reasonably compatible with our biological instincts. It was hardest on beta women, whose attraction to alphas and marriage to betas caused cuckolding, inner conflict, and marital dissatisfaction. It was great for beta males (got wives instead of being single), decent for alpha males (hey, they still get to try to seduce married women), and great for alpha women (got to monopolize an alpha man instead of sharing him). It was great for raising kids. Shannon points out that having more stable betas reproducing might have been good for stability and economic growth in an agricultural society.

But the modern sexual revolution, while I am of course very fond of its hedonistic, kinky, multisexual gloriousness, did not have this evolutionary awareness. And so the huge shift towards female power (more jobs, more control of their reproduction, the ability to initiate divorce with no reason, and shamefully biased custody and child support laws) resulted in the female alpha-seeking instinct being expressed in a huge rise in divorce (70%-75% of divorces are female-initiated) and single parenthood.

I'm sure there is some woman reading this now flipping out and thinking I am saying women shouldn't have all these freedoms. That is not at all what I am saying. I think every woman should be free to get a great job, leave her husband, and have barren sex - especially if it's with me. (Mmm...barren sex...). Although I don't like the biased child support laws. At this point I am just observing the unintended social consequences of female empowerment, and saying that they are bad - not making any prescriptions for how to fix it. And I am happy to state that I don't think taking away female freedoms is the answer (except the freedom to screw over the ex via child support payments).

This is getting kinda long, so let me just try to summarize the rest of my thoughts:

When women can leave men easily, they often do. Even if she genuinely loves him, her biological trigger makes her get bored with him in ~5 years (especially if he is beta, but even for alphas - look at the crazy serial monogamy in Hollywood. How many stars have only had one spouse?). There is a whole book on this.

I'll skip the whole "why is this bad", but the essay has an excellent section about it. Basically: it reduces investment by fathers in children, and this causes many social problems. Some go so far as to say that high paternal investment is part of what drove modern civilization forward. It occurs to me that the post-sexual revolution period (the last few decades) coincides with the low compensation growth and stagnant wages that the left complains about. How deliciously (if awfully, ironic) if it was in part related to the left's rejection of traditional "family values".

What can we do about it? I love to solve problems, so for me this is the most interesting part of the whole thing. What cultural rules will maintain female freedom, while providing a better environment for raising kids? That is, how can we have the best of both worlds?

I'm not sure. But if the problem is low paternal investment, the solution must fix that. For example, anything that leads to less divorce and more stable families will help. Perhaps teaching men to be more alpha (in relationship ways, not PUA ways) so that their wives are kept engaged and passionate through a long relationship. In fact, there are lots of therapist and books about keeping marriages going - the problem (in my mind) is that many women don't realize why they are no longer attracted to their husband, and assume that they should dump him, rather than turning to these techniques. While I find it very strange to be complimenting or drawing from the world of traditional Christian family values, I've seen a lot of material on keeping couples together from that world, which is natural given its commitment to the nuclear family, and it is most likely a force counteracting these negative social trends.

But I prefer more innovative solutions :). For example, it is possible that couples don't need to stay together to get paternal investment, just have the dads nearby. So perhaps communal living with serial monogamy within the community would allow for women to fulfill their serial instincts while kids still get fathered. I am skeptical that split-up parents now dating others can co-parent as well as a married couple, but this should be tested with data, since if I'm wrong, it enables a whole class of solutions of the "get divorced, but don't move further than a block" variety.

Since I'm poly, I'm generally intrigued by how poly plays into this, both in reinforcing the bad patterns (I think poly encourages serial monogamy b/c relationships tend to be less committed), and in offering possible solutions (perhaps polyamorous-natured women, those who can have simultaneous emotional relationships with multiple guys, can stay married to "dad" while following their instincts to a new relationship. Parallel, rather than serial monagamy).

So that's where all action movies come from

  • May. 24th, 2009 at 4:29 PM
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From The 10,000 Year Explosion, discussing what we know about Indo-Europeans, whose long, widespread takeover suggests a biological advantage, most likely lactose tolerance. (A long slow takeover argues for a biological explanation over a cultural one, because culture can be copied by the people you are slowly displacing.)

"Their system was patriarchal, with clans tracing descent through the male line. They were warlike, constantly raiding for cattle and revenge. They probably had egalitarian warrior brotherhoods made up of single young men, with difficult initiation rites. Those warriors sometimes acted as berserkers in battle, probably had a wolf as a totem, and often were not quite kept under control by older and wiser heads."

Wow, now I understand the source of the archetypical myth behind action movies (y'know, like those McBain stars in). It's thousands of years old.

Also, I hadn't realized just how maladapted Amerindians (and Australian abos) were to disease. Whereas the HLA (immune system signature of the rest of the world) had a strong selection for diversity (keep changing the signature, it helps disease resistance), with a vast variety of different alleles, Amerindians sometimes had half of a tribe sharing the same allele!

It's because most pathogens come from animals, and in places which didn't have our primate ancestors (Australia, New Zealand, the Americas), animals didn't evolve defense against hunting, and so were largely wiped out when humans appeared. This meant that while Amerindians independently discovered agriculture, they did not also discover domestication b/c they didn't have farm animals available. This meant very few diseases, which was great...until the Europeans showed up.

I had thought that Europeans killed most of the Amerindians in war, and disease was just a small part of it, but it was quite the opposite. The Spanish, for example, didn't want all the natives to die - they wanted to enslave them and take over the empires. I had thought that the Europeans were able to win with hundreds against millions because of technology like guns, but it seems to have been more about the technology of their immune system. Europeans tried to conquer Africa, for example, starting in the 1500s, where they had just as much tech advantage as in America, and they failed, for hundreds of years, because Europeans couldn't handle African diseases.

Even when the Europeans succeeded b/c of better medical tech in the 1800s, they didn't displace native populations the way we did in America. Africa is still mostly full of Africans. The difference was disease - in America, the natives died out, in Africa, they didn't. I had previously bought the standard story that Europeans displaced Amerindians in America because they took the territory from them. There was some of that, certainly, but the fact that the Amerindians were vacating the territory by dying en masse seems to have had a lot to do with it too.

This also puts horror stories about "First Nations" schools in Canada where only half of students survived to graduation in perspective. Disease ran rampant in these schools, not because they were horrible, filthy, and maltreated (although there was some of that), but because Amerindians have extremely weak immune systems.

Anyway, it's a fascinating book. A population genetics-eyed look at human history over the past 40K years, where empires are important because they spread genes, technology is important because it changes the selection pressure for various traits, and everything is backed up with evidence about specific genes which vary in specific populations for specific reasons.

The whole "race is a cultural fiction", "evolution is in stasis", "no population has an inherent genetic advantage over another, we are all blank slates" viewpoint cannot survive the data that is going to pour in from biology in the next decade or two. I shouldn't even waste my time arguing about it, because there is no need. The bag cannot confine the cat. The idea that Ashkenazi Jews win so many more Nobel Prizes than, say, Arabs (we're talking like a 1000:1 per capita outperformance), for a non-biological reason is going to be seen as being as ridiculous as Creationism. That is, you'll be able to believe in it only by willfully denying the evidence.

Not that culture doesn't matter. I believe in stereotype threat. I believe that American blacks underperform due to poverty and culture as much as or more than genetics. If we ended the war on drugs and waved a magic wand that erased the current black urban culture, there would be a huge decrease in poverty, jail, and other statistical measures in that population. However, I also believe that with equality of opportunity, statistical measures depending on outliers, such as Nobels, would still show huge racial differences. Small differences in means lead to big differences in the tails.

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More on male homosexuality

  • May. 24th, 2009 at 2:34 PM
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[info]nyuanshin has a giant post collecting much of the evidence about male homosexuality.

[info]corwyn_ap was talking about female homosexuality, which is different, more complicated, and less well understood (how appropriate!). I have nothing to say about it, other than that it's hot.

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There was a bunch of discussion on the comments to my post about male vs. female taste in mates which brought up the old "helpful uncle" theory of homosexuality. For example, [info]corwyn_ap: I like the idea (without a shred of backing) that non-reproductively oriented people can increase the fitness of the community. Sort of nature's babysitters. and [info]krustad: "If you help raise even one nephew/niece, such as that kid gets a boost in life and goes on to be very successful, then the numbers work out a generation later."

This theory is an attempt to reconcile homosexuality and evolutionary biology, which are definitely in need of reconciliation. However, this particular theory does not hold up. Here is a PDF of some of Cochran's mailing list/newsgroup posts on the subject. He explains why this theory does not fit the real world:
First, it is important to mention that nobody sees homosexual men among hunter-gatherers, the groups whose way of life is thought to most closely resemble the general evolutionary past of the human race. (Patri: this is compatible with the virus theory, as viruses are population-size-dependent and different viruses exist in cities than small tribes, but not compatible with the helpful uncle theory).

Second, this idea that homosexual men somehow paid their evolutionary way by helping others in the tribe raise children is bullshit, because they don't do any such thing in any society. If they were something like worker bees, if helping others raise their kids were their particular evolutionary strategy, they would have a strong impulse in that direction, and they'd do it a lot. They would always have done it, they'd practically always _be_ doing it. . It'd be as obvious as mother love - but it doesn't exist.

Third, how on Earth would homosexuality help? Being neuter might - it works for bees, but how is strong same-sex interest going to help anyone provide for kids in the tribe? It's a distraction, a time consuming distraction. Obviously, a guy who spent most of his time investing in his sister's kids and screwed the occasional interested chick would have a far superior reproductive strategy. Homosexuality neither makes babies nor brings in the bacon.

Fourth, it wouldn't work if they _did_ do it: the relationship coefficients are wrong. In order for a gene causing altruistic behavior ( behavior that costs the doer and benefits others) to be favored by natural selection, it has to satisfy Hamilton's inequality: sum of rb > c, r is the relatedness coefficient, b is the benefit to the other individual, and c is the cost to the doer, all measured in terms of fitness. Someone who has and raises two kids to maturity breaks even, in a genetic sense. r is 0.5 for your own kid, 0.25 for a nephew or niece. In order for a homosexual man to break even, he'd have to cause four more nephews/nieces to survive to maturity than would have without his efforts; he has to be better at making kids grow up than a mother - and, in order to fit our observations, must do so in a way that has never been noticed by anyone.

Probabably the most important lesson learned in biology over the past 40 years is that natural selection is strongest at the individual level and that behavior should be analyzed keeping that in mind. This had not oozed much into the popular mind. Homosexual men have a lot fewer children than average: that is a fact, and it is not exactly surprising. I think that this nonsensical crap about the evolutionary 'function' of human homosexuality originated with Jim Weinrich and was then uncritically mentioned by the notoriously numerically challanged E. O. Wilson in a book. Jim can't count, but I can.
Seems like a very solid argument to me. I know plenty of gay men, and I sure don't see them helping their relatives to such a degree as to add 4 cousins worth of reproduction to their immediate family!

Here is Cochran's virus theory of male homosexuality. In case I haven't mentioned it, one new and freaky development in science which this is a part of is that it looks like viruses may affect a lot more than we think. The HPV / Cervical cancer link is one of the biggest examples - previously the idea of a virus causing cancer was thought of as crazy and outlandish. The mental affects of toxoplasmosis (people who own cats are more depressed and promiscuous :) ) is another. Anyway, Shannon immediately said "bipolar?", and yes indeed, there is active research into the idea that bipolar and schizophrenia may be caused or partly caused by infectious agents.

Anyway, just a heads up that you should expect a lot of things in coming years to turn out to be due to viruses in early childhood.

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Agrarian stage a necessary transition?

  • Mar. 23rd, 2009 at 3:02 PM
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The book author replies on the post where I first saw the book cited, about HGs joining modern society:
Clark has also shown that hunter gatherers probably _cannot_ integrate with modern societies because they have not been through the natural selection of agricultural societies which seems to produce changes in cognition and personality necessary to working in modern conditions. Richard Lynn's work on international IQ suggest that IQ may be one important factor; and probably prosocial personality traits such as conscientiousness and agreeableness/ negative-psychoticism are others.

So I would now (post having read Clark and Lynn) be inclined to say that at least two factors are at work. Hunter gatherers probably don't want to join modernity, because they will be less happy; but also they probably cannot join modernity, because they have not been psychologically pre-adapted for modernity by many generations of natural selection in agrarian societies.

Clark does not know of any examples where an h-g group has sucessfully integrated with modernity; but there are many (horrific) examples where it seems they cannot - perhaps the most extreme being Australian Aborigines. It might be worth Googling Northern Territories and Aborigine to get a feel for the appalling - and apparently intractable, unsolvable - problems of this group of ex-hunter gatherers in relation to the modern world.

If anyone knows of any exceptions, where h-gs have successfully integrated with modernity, I'd like to hear them.

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Anti-industrialization bias

  • Mar. 23rd, 2009 at 12:27 PM
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Perhaps this is why so many react with horror to people moving to factories:
Of the three kinds of society as described by Gellner: hunter-gatherer, agrarian, and mercantile, it is probable that hunter-gatherers had the best life, overall. Hunter gatherer societies are the happiest and peasant societies are the most miserable - while industrial-mercantile societies such as our own lie somewhere in between.

That, at any rate, is the conclusion of anthropologist Jerome Barkow - and his opinion is widely confirmed by the reports of many independent anthropologists who have experienced the alternatives of foraging, agrarian and industrial society...

Another line of evidence is patterns of voluntary migration. When industrial mercantile societies develop, they are popular with the miserable peasantry of agrarian societies who flee the land and crowd the cities, if given the chance. Not so the happier hunter gatherers who typically must be coerced into joining industrial life. My great grandparents left their lives as rural peasants and converged from hundreds of miles and several countries to work the coal mines of Northumberland. They swapped the open sky, fields and trees for a life underground and inhabiting dingy rows of colliery houses. Being a miner in the early twentieth century must have been grim, but apparently it was not so bad as being an agricultural laborer.
My hypothesis is that when most people think about people in the third world moving to factory jobs, they model the current state of those people as happy hunter-gatherers. Our idealized vision of the happy past is our instinct about happy hunter-gatherers applied incorrectly to agrarian societies. In practice, there are very few hunter-gatherers left, and the reason people go to sweatshop jobs is because those jobs are far better than the miserable toil of subsistence farming.

Which rather begs the question of why people move to subsistence farming. Perhaps it's a group selection thing - agrarian societies are so much more productive (they accumulate capital, albeit slowly, and can support much larger population bases which means more ideas and gains from trade) that those who choose them outcompete those who don't.

Psychiatry and the Human Condition

  • Mar. 23rd, 2009 at 12:09 PM
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If you are interested in the intersection between Evolutionary Biology/Psychology and Psychiatry, check out this book, available online in its entirety:
Psychiatry and the Human Condition provides an optimistic vision of a superior alternative approach to psychiatric illness and its treatment, drawing upon modern neuroscience and evolutionary theory. Psychiatric signs and symptoms - such as anxiety, insomnia, malaise, fatigue - are part of life for most people, for much of the time. This is the human condition. But psychiatry has the potential to help. In particular, psychotropic drugs could enable more people to lead lives that are more creative and fulfilled. Current classifications and treatments derive from a century-old framework which now requires replacement. Available psychotropic drugs are typically being used crudely, and without sufficient attention to their psychological effects.

We can do better. This book argues that obsolete categories of diseases and drugs should be scrapped. The new framework of understanding implies that clinical management should focus on the treatment of biologically-valid symptoms and signs, and include a much larger role for self-treatment.
The book seems like the anti-Szaszian perspective, in that it treats psychiatric disorders as being extremely common rather than extremely rare. It's all a matter of definition, of course.
Imagine a world in which many of the people suffer from psychiatric symptoms for most of the time and very few live out their lifespan without suffering periods of significant psychiatric illness. I am describing the world we live in.

If this seems far fetched, start adding up the numbers. In the first place there are the obvious people who suffer from the formally diagnosed psychiatric diseases such as major depressive disorder, schizophrenia, Alzheimer’s dementia.

There is the vast army of the anxious; people who go through life in a state of gnawing angst, perhaps seeking temporary relief from alcohol, perhaps stoically enduring.

Then there are those suffering from sleep deprivation for a multitude of reason - shift work, overwork, jet lag, young children, obstructed airways - or just chronically poor sleepers no known reason. Then there are the more or less miserable people who are ill and in pain - with colds, flu, hay fever, gastroenteritis, irritable bowels, headaches, back aches, inflammations. And the patients with life-threatening diseases like cancers, heart disease, stroke, AIDS - who often have significant ‘psychiatric’ symptoms that may amount to a formal psychiatric diagnosis.

Of course, huge numbers of people at any one time will be either intoxicated and brain impaired from alcohol, opiates, uppers, downers, solvents and the like - or else are ‘hung over’ and brain impaired as an after effect of such intoxication. It must not be forgotten that prescribed drugs often have undesirable and sometimes unavoidable side effects of a psychiatric nature - sedation, headaches, mental clouding… Then there are people without a psychiatric diagnosis but taking prescribed psychoactive medication: tranquilizers, antidepressants etc. These represent only a proportion of those whose state of mental health or well-being depends upon taking drugs.

When considered in this way, it is clear that few people are free of psychiatric symptoms for sustained periods of time. And if psychiatric symptoms are a matter of everyday life, then so - potentially - is their treatment. Such is the scale that professional management is inconceivable, as well as undesirable. Logistically, this means an expansion in psychiatric self-help - which entails expertise in self-diagnosis, self-treatment and the self-evaluation evaluation of this process.

The human condition, as we experience it in contemporary life, is one where psychiatric symptoms are endemic, being constantly present in the population - and present at a remarkably high prevalence.
Why are we not perfectly happy all the time? The two standard answers of EvBio are given: 1) we were evolved to survive and reproduce, not be happy, and 2) we are no longer in our ancestral environment. BTW, the book is hosted on HedWeb.

A counter-point about race and biology

  • Jan. 30th, 2009 at 5:40 PM
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I prefer to argue about truth, not implication. But one argument about race and genetics which I have found to be somewhat persuasive in the past is this: "It may or may not be true, but it is counterproductive to speak it. It breeds divisiveness, people viewing themselves as separate, making assumptions about other people based on their race, discrimination, and other bad things"

In the past, my answer has been: "That's true. But ignoring and denying the truth of genetic racial differences hampers transhumanist science. And transhumanist science to genetically improve us will have far more positive effect in the long-term than the negative short-term effects of admitting there are genetic racial differences"

But I just read a new argument, which suggests that it is cultural explanations for differences in racial outcomes which are divisive and counterproductive:
A culturist explanation would be that blacks and Hispanics are held back by “racism”—basically, by malice on the part of white and Asian people.

A non-culturist explanation would be that a population whose ancestors went through some key transiton—say, from hunting-gathering to pastoralism—ten thousand years ago, if compared with a population whose ancestors passed through that transition only one thousand years ago, will have, on average of course, different gene sets conferring different abilities, personalities, and social skills. Natural selection can just get more done in ten thousand years than in one thousand. This is not scientifically controversial.

Now consider the effect on a black or Hispanic person of the two explanations. If he accepts the first, the culturist explanation, he will be mad as hell, and rightly so. He looks out at the world and sees people like himself stuck at the bottom of society. Why? Because of malice on the part of other groups. That’s what the culturist model tells him. He’s just the same as those other groups—the differences are only superficial. Why isn’t his group doing as well as their groups? Malice, the culturists tell him, wicked malice! Why wouldn’t he be mad as hell?

If, on the other hand, he accepts the biological explanation, there is no-one to blame. That’s just how human biology has shaken out across the deep history of our species. It isn’t anybody’s fault.

Thus, a culturist explanation of human group inequality—or of human individual inequality, for that matter—breeds rage and rancor. The true, biological explanation, by contrast, offers at least the hope of acceptance. We do, after all, accept our individual differences without pain. Everybody in this room is better than I am at something or other: playing tennis, appreciating music, writing, attracting the opposite sex. Many of you are undoubtedly smarter than I am. I don’t lose any sleep over this. Millions of American men and women go out and play golf every weekend, by no means sunk in listless despair at the knowledge that they will never be as good as Tiger Woods. If we can so placidly accept individual inequality, why can’t we accept group inequality—especially since it is supported by an ever-growing mountain of evidence? Perhaps we like rage and rancor, I don’t know.
The idea that some races have had evolutionary pressure from a more modern world (post-agricultural revolution) than others makes me uncomfortable. I don't like theories that imply some races may be more "advanced" than others - that brings up bad associations with theories that have done awful things (like perpetuating slavery). But this is an interesting point, that the non-genetic explanation for differences in outcome has bad blowback too. One encourages discrimination and demonization, the other entitlement and resentment.

One explanation leads to harm from others, the other to self-harm - what an awful choice. Let's hurry up and figure out how we can engineer everyone's genome to be fabulously advanced.

Although, genetic engineering will be expensive, and sold to the rich first, so I guess these differences are probably going to perpetuate themselves onward forever, through the Singularity and beyond. That's sad. Someone, please give me hope for a future that is not in denial of the facts, not a Harrison Bergeron dystopia, but not one where current priveleges are perpetuated forever.

The 10,000 Year Explosion

  • Jan. 30th, 2009 at 4:58 PM
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An upcoming book from Cochrane & Harpending about the human evolution since the agricultural revolution - looks fascinating!
Much of humanity’s past is a mystery. Until recently, we had only bones and artifacts to help us understand prehistoric human life. But today we have a new window into the past: the historical record that survives in our genes. We can now examine material from our own genomes and analyze it in light of evolutionary theory—a combination Gregory Cochran and Henry Harpending call evolutionary genomics. The overwhelming surprise emerging from this new field of research is that human evolution did not stop with the emergence of Homo sapiens. Instead, it sped up—and has continued accelerating into historical times.

The 10,000 Year Explosion is the first book to introduce the new ideas coming from evolutionary genomics that will revolutionize humanity’s understanding of its past. Harpending and Cochran reveal the genetic changes that led to behaviorally modern humans and that allowed our ancestors to adapt to new environments. The majority of these changes, including adaptations to physical and social inventions such as agriculture and urban environments, seem to have started in a huge burst only 10,000 years ago. Cochran and Harpending make clear that many of the important transitions in human history involved biological changes that were the products of natural selection.

Full of revelatory and wondrous findings, The 10,000 Year Explosion proves that humanity’s genetic inheritance can change remarkably fast—and that our own civilization can cause the change.
And for you math-crunchy types, from this review:
There is a good theoretical argument for why evolution may speed up due to population growth. Given a particular probability distribution for producing beneficial mutations, a large population implies a faster rate of incidence of such mutations. Because reproductive dynamics leads to exponential solutions (i.e., a slight increase in expected number of offspring compounds rapidly), the time required for an advantageous allele to sweep through a population only grows logarithmically with the population, while the rate of incidence grows linearly.
...
Thus civilization, with its consequently larger populations supported by agriculture, enhanced rather than suppressed the rate of human evolution.
p.s. This John Derbyshire review is an excellent antidote to Blank Slate-ism:
At a somewhat lower level, there is a great hunger for books about human nature that reinforce the state dogma—the dogma I call “culturism.” Jared Diamond has made a nice bundle for himself with books explaining human differences without breathing a word about human biology. Plenty of lesser lights have done the same. I picked up Harvard psychologist Richard Nisbett’s book The Geography of Thought with great expectations, but I found that the book was weakened by its punctilious culturism.

If, on the other hand, you publish a book that contradicts the “culturist” dogma, you had better get the wife and kids filling sandbags, beause you are going to take a lot of fire from the intellectual establishment. You could ask Charles Murray about this. Geography is in fact a great friend to the culturists.

Question: Why is this human group over here different from that one over there?

Answer: Ah, because they’re different places, you see. Different fauna, different climate, so the inhabitants react differently.

Question: I see. But then, over a few hundred generations, wouldn’t the selection pressures from these different environments cause these two populations to diverge in average characteristics, as Darwin observed with lesser animals?

Answer: Guards! Guards!

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side-beard-flip
Have the courage to change what you can, the strength to accept what you cannot, and the wisdom to know the difference.

I found it striking to get two comments on very different subjects recently with the same implication that I am doing a poor job at communicating my viewpoint. Specifically, that my arguing for what is can be seen as arguing against what can be, and that my cynicism about the entrenchment of the status quo can be seen as defeatism about reform.

[info]kirinn responded to this post with:
I think a lot of the resistance to these posts comes from people who see many EvBio/EvPsych arguments going in the direction of "well, evolution made us this way, so it must be alright then" and having that applied to aspect of human behavior that they find abhorrent.

For example, while I believe in evolution, and believe it has plenty of profound effects on human behavior in the aggregate, I also believe (near religiously, which is saying something for me) in the power of individuals to use their higher brain functions to overcome many, if not all, of the pressures of evolution. I think to believe otherwise would be unbearably depressing. Given some of your other comments and the time I've spent with you, I'm pretty sure we largely agree on this stance, but it's often far from clear in the top level of your favorite button-pushing posts.
And [info]reinaness responded to a comment of mine on [info]zuleikhajami about how both Presidential tickets are fully occupied by hypocrites and liars with:
why are you trying to dissuade those of us who want to stay here and fight for our country? What do you get out of it? As long as we still live here, isn't it worth it? You can have your opinion, but really who does it serve to tell people it doesn't matter? If it matters to us that is enough. Sure there is alot of bullshit, sure there is corruption. Your solution of leaving and creating new utopias is great, but anywhere there are people there is lying and corruption. All we can do is hold them accountable the best we can. Leaving this country to the "extremely concerned" minority on either fringe is not the way to benefit anyone. You can tell me I am wasting my time, but I am sure people have told you that, too. I support you right to try and create your utopia, please just let me try to create mine here now in America or at least inch my way towards it.
In both cases, I am addressing the "wisdom" part of the intro quotation. I view it as almost axiomatic that the better we understand how the world is, the more likely we are to be able to change it, and the more effectively we can direct our efforts. It bothers me when people deny what I see as reality, even if I detest that reality, because I think the denial makes it much less likely that they will change it. It bothers me when people try to do good things in ways that I think are ineffective, because I think "How sad that this energy and passion for making the world a better place is being wasted."

Some might think "well, at least they are trying", but that is not my viewpoint. My concern is that a) they will burn themselves out and give up on reform totally, b) they would be happier if they directed the same energy towards improving their lives instead of the world, c) if they get used to directing reformist energy in ineffective ways, such that it becomes a habit, they are satisfying their desire for reform while not actually changing anything, and that removes from the world the very people it most needs to grow and change.

With respect to political activism, there are many forms and many methods, and a few them are even effective. The Nonviolent Offender Rehabilitation act, a CA referendum coming up for vote, will (if passed) make the world a much better place. Those who helped make it happen were effective in their activism. But it is my belief, based on my understanding of politics and democracy, that most activism changes little or nothing. That most problems are functions of the system and its incentives, not those who happen to be in office. Break one scandal, and it will just get replaced by another. Publicize a terrible law (telecom immunity), and it will probably pass anyway.

As humans, we tend to anthropomorphize, and we are tribal creatures, so we naturally blame problems on people from other tribes, but I think that is rarely the case, and hence that voting on candidates is rarely useful or effective. I believe it functions mainly as an escape valve, a way for people to feel like they have done something when they haven't. Voting is for suckers. And I hate that, not because I like the status quo or am against change, but because I desperately want enormous change and I hate to see people's energy uselessly sapped.

With respect to evolutionary biology & psychology, I'm a transhumanist, very dedicated to the cause of overcoming our evolved mind and restructuring it to serve the goals of our consciousness instead of our genes. But I firmly believe that in this case, as in every other case where someone wants to change the world, that it is crucial to have an unflinching, clear, honest perception of how things are, in order to act to change them.

Thoreau said "There are a thousand hacking at the branches of evil to one who is striking at the root". For many reasons, I believe that the vast majority of democratic reform is hacking at the leaves and branches of evil. If all that energy was instead directed at major systemic changes, (like seasteading, states rights, or prediction markets about the effects of legislation), I think we would be able to make radical and positive changes to our government. If all the effort devoted to denying the importance of human Nature were devoted to learning how to overcome it, to reforming our schools to teach people to overcome their bad genetic habits (exaggerated stereotyping, false sexism, carb cravings, obsession with past/future...), I think we would be able to make radical and positive changes to the consciousness level of humanity.

Yes, I have strong opinions about the status quo in areas like politics and biology. And those give me strong opinions about the pointlessness of many suggested/attempted reforms. But it's not because I want people to give up on changing the world. I just want them to have the wisdom to know the difference - including when there is nothing to be done about something awful except to accept it, and focus on your own life. When in doubt, focus on getting rich - because money is and always will be a crucial tool for changing the world.

Clarification on evolution

  • Aug. 31st, 2008 at 12:25 PM
side-beard-flip
I'd like to clarify an important point. It would be easy to read my posts as saying that I think other people should share my *specific* beliefs about the implications of evolution, or the specific conclusions I (or others) draw from them. To a small degree, I am saying that - there are a few cases, like "men and women have different wiring in their head related to sex and relationships" where I don't think any believer in evolution can reasonably disagree.

But (and I apologize for not making this clear), my point is much broader than that. My belief is that anyone whose world has not been shaken to its foundations by the total insanity of the mind-boggling idea that we are the product of a simple and known algorithm is someone who, consciously or unconsciously, is rejecting it. It's that big, and that important and weird and disturbing.

It's not that I think the specific implications are clear. Not at all. I think that incorporating evolution into morality, philosophy, and politics is incredibly difficult, complex, gray, and nuanced. But from my perspective, hardly anyone seems to even try. (I'm only picking on liberals because they explicitly and loudly accept evolution, and thus I see them as more hypocritical than the conservatives, whose worldview is just as out-of-date, but at least they admit it.)

I am reminded of Peter Thiel's screed about macroeconomics and stock traders, where he laments that many of the smartest financial brains in the world are completely punting on the problem of trying to understand how the world works, and instead myopically focusing on extracting statistical signals from streams of financial data to make short-term trades. (Essentially "global macro is the real game, stat arb is for pussies"). I find stat arb much more attractive personally, because finding statistical signals sounds a lot more tractable than understanding the global economy. But I have to admit that he has a point - global macro involves a much deeper and more useful understanding of the world than stat arb.

The situation with evolution is far worse, because it as far more fundamental to our understanding of the world. Thanks to Darwin & Dawkins, we finally have true answers to some of the deepest questions of life - how did we get here, why are we here, for what purpose were we designed? Our answers may not be complete, but we know the general idea. Yet despite this incredible scientific accomplishment in answering some of those deep, religious questions that almost never get answered, most of the people in the world, including its scientists and philosophers, are largely ignoring this advance. I think the reason is that it's non-intutive, weird, and deeply disturbing. But none of those should dissuade seekers after the truth.

It's not that I think the conclusions of evolution are clear, or that all of EvBio or EvPsych should be taken as gospel. Yes, there are plenty of "Just So" stories, where instead of real science, someone invents a post hoc explanation for some phenomenon. That's bad.

But regardless of the specifics, I believe that anyone who claims to have learned evolution, but has not had it rearrange many of their beliefs about philosophy, morality, and human nature, is someone who does not truly believe it or has not thought about its implications. We finally have an answer to one of Life's Big Questions - and most people ignore it. I think that's really sad.

Not because I like the implications I see in evolution - to the contrary, I find the idea of myself as an ephemeral robot designed to serve immortal strings of information to be enormously disturbing. But because I believe almost axiomatically that a truer understanding of the universe will make our lives better, by increasing the success rates of our striving for a better world.

Fair enough?

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side-beard-flip
[info]altamira16 writes:
Evolution is not a political theory. It is a scientific theory. It mostly applies to biology, but shortly after it was discovered it captured people's imagination, and they applied it to all sorts of things. Some of it panned out, and some of it did not. I found the scientific racism of the late 19th century to be a bad thing.
I agree that it is a scientific theory. So is economics. But since both of them are deeply relevant to the nature of systems composed of human beings, and politics concerns itself with designing those system, both evolution and economics are, in my opinion, relevant to politics. Evolution is also very relevant to philosophy, yet very few thinkers (Dennet, Pinker, Wright) seem to incorporate it.

The fact that evolution has been used for bad political ends in the past does not change the fact that it is true, wide-ranging, and important. Economics has been used for bad ends in the best - Marx was used to justify communism, which killed far more people in the 20th century than racism in the 19th. Does that mean that the fields like law & econ, or public choice economics, should be thrown out?

Perhaps there are some sophisticated argument involving the bad past uses of evolutionary science which are reasonable. But most of the ones I've heard are equivalent to throwing out the incredibly important contributions of modern economics to understanding political systems because Marxism killed people. And that's just plain stupid.

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side-beard-flip
My dad points out that while conservatives are the ones calling for Creationism to be taught, liberals only embrace the surface idea of evolution, rejecting most of its implications and holding positions which counter it.

So while the left loves to diss the right for being anti-evolution and anti-science, they are just as bad (and more hypocritical).

I think I posted some stuff from Robot's Rebellion earlier on the subject, but the sad fact is that many decades after Darwin and several after Dawkins' The Selfish Gene, the ideas of evolution - an incredibly powerful and far-reaching theory with enormous implications about human nature - are still largely ignored by philosophers and the general public. We finally have the answers to some deep questions about why we are the way we are...and people ignore them, either because they don't understand, or the answers counter their deeply held prejudices.

As my dad has posted in the past, a true scientific theory will always cut across political lines, and thus have elements that make everyone uncomfortable. Evolution is no exception. But it is true, and it has wide-reaching uncomfortable implications. So you can believe it, or you can be a crypto-Creationist, saying you support evolution while denying its implications.

If you want to learn more, I recommend starting with Evolution for Everyone: How Darwin's Theory Can Change the Way We Think About Our Lives:excerpt )In a sense, evolution is like economics - a field which people think of as applying to a few specialized areas, like money and international trade, when in reality it has profound things to say about the daily life, interactions, and decision making of everyone. Just as I am imperialistic about the application of economics, I am imperialistic about the application of evolution. People are incredibly complicated, weird machines. Knowing who built them, how, and why is an incredible tool to wield in understanding how they work. To neglect it is to bury your head in the sand.

After Evolution for Everyone, I recommend Pinker's "Blank Slate", Robert Wright's "Moral Animal", and Dawkins' "The Selfish Gene". If you can read those books and think that evolution doesn't have broad-ranging implications to most aspects of human life...I'd love to hear your reasoning.

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Evolutionary Biology and gender equality

  • Aug. 29th, 2008 at 12:57 PM
side-beard-flip
I most often invoke EvBio when discussing differences between men and women. Yet it occurs to me that there are some strong EvBio arguments to be made in favor of gender equality.

There are 2 general reasons why human instincts can be counterproductive: when they help our genes rather than ourselves, and when they are adapted for our ancestral environment and don't find with the modern one. I think some areas of gender stereotyping fit into this latter category, and thus we should be consciously trying to overcome them.

The simplest example is sexual mores, such as the slut/stud distinction. Because of the asymmetrical investment in children, without birth control, there was a huge practical difference between male and female promiscuity. Men getting laid was generally good for their genes while women getting laid (outside a committed relationship) was generally bad - so of course relatives treat the two very differently! But now that we have birth control, the link between female promiscuity and single motherhood is far weaker. And we are rich enough that single motherhood, while very difficult, is a lot easier than it used to be[1]. So our viewpoints should shift much more towards equality when evaluating promiscuity.

Also, the economics of hunter-gatherer tribes was such that there was much more variety in the resources obtained by men (hunting) than women (gathering). So male income mattered a lot more than female income, because it varied more. Because childbirth was so difficult and dangerous, female youth and health were very important, thus female beauty.

Again, things have radically changed. Men still have higher-variance in income than women (note the male dominance of CEO positions and athletics, for example), but the difference is much lower - especially in utility-space, because we are so rich that the marginal utility of money declines very quickly. And while youth & health still matter for childbirth, with modern medical technology it's a much less life-or-death matter. So, when evaluating the attractiveness of women, we should be up-weighting mental characteristics (income, career) and downweighting the physical ones.

Hopefully these arguments will also help us accept the existence of these stereotypes. Yes, they are stupid, but it's nothing personal - just evolution rearing its ugly head. Someone in modern liberal America who looks down on a promiscuous female is falling victim to the same trap as a fat person who eats too much and doesn't exercise enough - both are following instincts that used to be accurate. Sadly, since the harm in the former case falls on someone else, it will be more difficult to get people to overcome their instincts. But perhaps this framework can help.

(All of these "shoulds" are of course categorical imperatives assuming that people want happiness.)

[1] Actually, I'm not certain about this. Because we have moved from tribal to nuclear family households, there is a lot less help around for a single mom.

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Scadian Context

  • Mar. 10th, 2002 at 3:14 AM
side-beard-flip

I recently finished reading a book called The Nurture Assumption, which my dad gave me. Its a fascinating work on developmental psychology which explains how most previous dev psych was wrong. Specifically, the nurture component of your personality (the non-hereditary part) is not mainly due to fashionable things like lots of parental attention, or a nurturing home environment, or indeed anything about your parents or home at all. Rather, the influences of your peer group are the dominant force.

Besides discussion of Evolutionary Psychology (a fascination of mine), TNA contained lots of really interesting studies. One idea which really meshed with my view of the world was that stereotypes and group differences tend to start with real differences, but then amplify and reinforce them. For example, there are real biological differences between male and female psychology that one can detect in children who are only 2 or 3 years old. However, the gender roles we take on go well beyond those genetic differences.

TNA offered support to a theory I'd made about my own development. I spent middle school and high school as a geek, a nerd, and a social outcast. Things improved a little the last couple years due to the automatic prestige that comes with age, but in general I was unpopular and didn't have a lot of friends. College was a dramatic change. I went to a science-oriented school, and suddenly I was surrounded by other geeks and nerds, as well as better-socialized folks who happened to be smart. I flourished in this environment, made tons of friends, smooched lots of girls (and a few boys), and became reasonably popular (or at least notorious, which is a decent substitute :) ). Most importantly I became self-confident and comfortable with meeting new people and interacting with them. I still experience occasional bouts of shyness, generally triggered by insecurity, but not too often.

The differences between the two stages can perhaps best be seen through pictorial contrast:

On the left is me in high school, on the right is me after college.

Now, TNA suggests that ones personality is strongly affected by ones peer group, and that it is set in childhood and can be hard to change. Why doesn't my case offer a counterexample? The theory I'd had in college was that the key was my participation in the Society For Creative Anachronism (SCA) . Besides being a place for midieval recreation, the SCA was very much a social group. Not just a random social group, but one that drew heavily from SF fandom, gamers, theatre, and other subcultures which tend to be geek-heavy and generally tolerant of nerdiness. In the SCA I was treated not only as a person instead of a geek, but as an adult much more often than in conventional society. I got to do the flirting and socializing which I missed out on in the rest of my life, and develop self-confidence within that social context.

TNA believes strongly in people's personalities being context-dependent. This explains the apparent contradiction between claims that things like birth order are very important (with studies to back them up) with the thorough studies showing that birth order doesn't mean squat. If you ask someone's family, or watch them with their family, birth order matters a lot. If you study them in the real world, it has no detectable effects. So I developed at least two facets to my personality in two different contexts. College, being friendly and full of geeks, was much more like the SCA, and so the social Patri emerged as dominant. I remember thinking in college that I was "getting to be my SCA self the whole time". If I'd gone to a less nerdy school (not that I applied to any), I might have continued to be shy most of the time, coming out of my shell only around people I was comfortable with.

Now its true that many people manage to find a group they are comfortable with in college, and become more social. I suspect that its much harder for those starting from scratch to have dominant extroverted personalities, but it could just be a matter of degree. I should also note that the basic personality in my family is quite social and extroverted, so I was at least swimming with the current. Another interesting note is that the actual time I spent in the SCA was very low. I went to the Pennsic War every summer for a week or two, and a few other events (such as the Buttery New Years party), for a total of perhaps 2 or 3 weeks a year. Yet this brief period was (if my theory is correct) enough to have substantial effects on my development. I wonder if people involved in summer programs such as CTY or theatre programs have had similar experiences?

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