So I was reading yet another debunking of environmentalist hysteria, and thinking about the F vs. T clash in approaching the world. Then I wondered whether genetic engineering for increased intelligence will increase the number of Ts (NTs?) in the world. And suddenly I saw the intro scene from Real Genius being repeated across the world. ("Tell me, is Mitch by any chance adopted?"..."They're OK, they just sometimes don't have any idea what I'm talking about." "I"m sure of that").
What will it do to parent-child relationships if a generation of children is born with 10pt higher IQ's than their parents? Remember that the generation gap is a good 25-30 years nowadays, so biotech doesn't have to progress quickly to get that big a jump. If we find one tweak that helps by 2 points every 5 years, that would be enough. We'd have a generation of kids whose parents couldn't easily help them with high school homework or science fair experiments.
One important facet is whether we can engineer better social/emotional adaptation as well. Are these kids intellectually precocious but socially just as awkward as other adolescents? Or perhaps even more so - we've all seen how socially awkward geeks can be, and there may be a correlation, ie slower physical maturity lets the brain develop longer or something. Or maybe not, I may just be biased because my family has a strong tendency to early intellectual and late physical/social maturity. Anyway, its a very different picture if these are a bunch of uberkids vs. if they are a bunch of smart-but-normal kids, who still need lots of emotional support / socialization.
Either way though, it seems like it will exacerbate the gap. It can already be hard enough to understand our kids language, hobbies, and interests, when they have greater technical knowledge it'll be even harder. Its not like this is a new problem - kids do get born who are much smarter than their parents. But I think it will become much more widespread. (Assuming that biotech can increase IQ and that it becomes cheap - I think these are likely, but for now just try to assume it and imagine the consequences).
What will it do to parent-child relationships if a generation of children is born with 10pt higher IQ's than their parents? Remember that the generation gap is a good 25-30 years nowadays, so biotech doesn't have to progress quickly to get that big a jump. If we find one tweak that helps by 2 points every 5 years, that would be enough. We'd have a generation of kids whose parents couldn't easily help them with high school homework or science fair experiments.
One important facet is whether we can engineer better social/emotional adaptation as well. Are these kids intellectually precocious but socially just as awkward as other adolescents? Or perhaps even more so - we've all seen how socially awkward geeks can be, and there may be a correlation, ie slower physical maturity lets the brain develop longer or something. Or maybe not, I may just be biased because my family has a strong tendency to early intellectual and late physical/social maturity. Anyway, its a very different picture if these are a bunch of uberkids vs. if they are a bunch of smart-but-normal kids, who still need lots of emotional support / socialization.
Either way though, it seems like it will exacerbate the gap. It can already be hard enough to understand our kids language, hobbies, and interests, when they have greater technical knowledge it'll be even harder. Its not like this is a new problem - kids do get born who are much smarter than their parents. But I think it will become much more widespread. (Assuming that biotech can increase IQ and that it becomes cheap - I think these are likely, but for now just try to assume it and imagine the consequences).
- Mood:recovering
- Music:Pet Shop Boys-Very-Yesterday, When I Was Mad


Comments
Just because you are right (or think you are) doesn't mean it suddenly became okay to be an asshole as well.
I didn't renew.
I still think skepticism is cool...but not the way they do it.
While I've read accounts that gloss over this government responsibility for the Love Canal, I have not seen contradiction or dispute of these facts:
*) The site was originally a government dumping site, first for the city of Niagara Falls, and then by the Army which dumped chemical warfare material and detritus from the Manhattan Project. The toxic waste was government waste as well as company waste.
*) Hooker did not want to sell the property. The local school board forced Hooker to sell them the property by threatening to seize it via eminent domain. So Hooker donated it for a token 1$, and took a tax writeoff.
*) Hooker specifically warned the local government that this was a dump site and not good for building houses or schools on. (Not for altruism, but because they didn't want to get sued later). They brought School Board members to the site and made test borings to show them the dumped chemicals to try to convince them not to build any underground facilities. They placed a long restriction in the deed to warn subsequent owners of the dangers, recommending the site only be used for above-ground facilities, preferably over asphalt.
*) The local government ignored all this and put in sewer lines and storm drains which pierced the seals. They took fill from the site and used it for top grading at a different school that was being built(!).
*) The clay cap was, *for the standards of the day*, an acceptable seal.
You can find this information places that have nothing to do with Ronald Bailey, for example, see
http://web.globalserve.net/~spinc/atomc
http://www.ncpa.org/ba/ba198.html
http://onlineethics.org/environment/lca
Or the original muckraking Reason article from 1981, which is a little biased, but extensively documented:
http://reason.com/8102/fe.ez.the.shtml
Now admittedly, Hooker dumped lots of toxic waste there. And I agree with you that the clay cap was not entirely sufficient. While the biased libertarian accounts say that it was the municipality drilling which caused the entire problem, I don't think this is true, from other accounts it sounds like the site was so polluted that it was going to be problematic to use no matter what. On the other hand, the *off-site* pollution which eventually occured (after a couple decades) may well have been from construction activity breaching the barrier.
So the fact remains that this is a story about government forcing a company to hand over its toxic waste dump, and then building a school on it, despite repeated warnings from the company. This sounds like the governments fault to me, not the company's fault, and I think its a bias against companies and for governments that causes it to be misperceived. I don't like the bias in Reason's account, but I can understand why they get pissed off by such blatant misrepresentation.
It would be like the situation we've had since IQs got tested - the rise between generations appears to be between 10-20 points or so. (Google "Flynn effect" for the details.)
One question of course is why the current generation aren't a bunch of super-geniuses (unless of course, they are.)
I also planned to bring up the Flynn effect!
So Patri's question becomes, 'what would it be like with 20-40 points instead of the 10-20 points we're used to?' Though of course it could be 60+ points a la the Beggars In Spain series...
Combined with a high percentage of the world's population under 21, it's an interesting demographic trend. Young, smart vs. old, entrenched, stupid.
IQs certainly measure *something*, even something reproducible. However, I tend to think we overestimate the importance of IQ, or 'g', or whatever you want to call it, because it is so highly corellated with wealth, education, social standing, et cetera.
Nutrition improvement has an obvious effect - allows for better development and maintainance of mind and body.
Effective C-sections means that babies with larger heads can be born, with the expectation that their mothers will survive to help raise them.
Complication of the environment puts IQ solidly in the realm of a lot of other physical activities - it is possible that we develop as much brain power as we need, and not much more. This would also neatly explain why we aren't walking around as obvious super-geniuses: the added brainpower of the new generation is mostly being used to negotiate the new environment.
Yup yup! one of my beefs about the MBTI. preference is not ability.
Many T's with super IQ's are tripped up by poorly developed F's and are essentially crippled by poor impulse control. So EQ is just if not more important than IQ in a practical fashion. I assume that higher intellignece in both areas will cause gaps.
Without bothering to substantiate any of this, I would think that enough counter-examples exist with different individuals and even at different developmental points in the life of a geek (was the geek normal socially at age 3? 5? 10?...) to make a 'hard-wired' correlation between the two tenuous at best.
One question in artificially stimulating intelligence is whether the older generations will get to do so too. If they do, then there isn't likely to be a huge effect, since they'll be able to keep up. If they don't, then I would expect children to become estranged from parents on the basis that they don't have much in common.
There's always going to be the gene link, and the effects that has - parents will still favor their own children (and to a lesser extent, children their parents) over strangers. But if the Nurture Principle is right, the child will gravitate even more to its peer group, and it will be less likely that its parents' generation will fill that role.
But the existence of counter-examples does not disprove my theory. I'm positing a correlation, not a perfect link. "Geeks tend to be less well socialized" is not disproved by the existence of well-socialized geeks.
True, but it is also not proved by the anecdotal evidence of poorly-socialized ones. What we have is a popular culture idea that "smart people are introverted", plus some personal examples for and against the proposition. One of the things I didn't make clear from my HS experience is that it appeared that all the kids socialized in about the proportions I'd expect of the general population (hard to be sure, of course, since I don't actually have a lot of contact with that group - I like smart, interesting people.) Now it is also true the school did a lot to help that along - they packed us onto a bus and had us go look at the world and live together for a month out of every school year, for example.
I was also offering a reason for why adequate socialization might happen (I didn't commit that murder, but if I did, I was justified.) I.E. that if you put smart kids into an environment where both learning and socialization are important, they'll do both.
My personal experience backs this up. I went to college with Patri, at a school for raging math and science geeks. I knew a great many people who came to Mudd with poor social skills, and who spent time developing said skills while there. My socal skills certainly picked up in that environment.
I've always theorized that this was because we had so much in common, and learning wasn't frowned upon (unlike so many modern high schools), but your interpretation makes sense, too. (And the two are not mutually exclusive.) Put in a situation where learning and socialization were emphasized, we picked up quick.
I don't know how much difference there is between the way adoptive and natural parents behave with their kids; but if there is, perhaps as we increase the number of genes added in that aren't our own, the more like adoptive parents behavior will get. Add in that adoptive parents are self-selected, and genetic engineering might be used by people who would never adopt, and the the effect may be more dramatic.